Global average prices fell from $153 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) in 2022 to $149 in 2023, and Goldman Sachs Research projects they will drop to $111 by the end of this year. Their researchers forecast that average prices could fall towards $80 per kWh by 2026, representing a nearly 50% decline compared to 2023.
Global average battery prices declined from $153 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) in 2022 to $149 in 2023, and they’re projected by Goldman Sachs Research to fall to $111 by the close of this year.
Electric vehicle battery prices are likely to decline by nearly 50% by 2026, driven by technological advancements and falling metal costs. This significant reduction could make the overall cost of owning an EV comparable to that of petrol or diesel-powered cars.
It’s estimated that around 40% of the total price drop from 2023 to 2030 will come from lower metal costs, reversing the increases seen during the past few years. Global average battery prices have already begun to decline, dropping from 1 kilowatt-hour (kWh) for $153 in 2022 to $149/kWh in 2023.
Turmoil in battery metal markets led the cost of Li-ion battery packs to increase for the first time in 2022, with prices rising to 7% higher than in 2021. However, the price of all key battery metals dropped during 2023, with cobalt, graphite and manganese prices falling to lower than their 2015-2020 average by the end of 2023.
Technology advances that have allowed electric vehicle battery makers to increase energy density, combined with a drop in green metal prices, will push battery prices lower than previously expected, according to Goldman Sachs Research.
There are two main drivers. One is technological innovation. We're seeing multiple new battery products that have been launched that feature about 30% higher energy density and lower cost. The second driver is a continued downturn in battery metal prices. That includes lithium and cobalt, and nearly 60% of the cost of batteries is from metals.